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El Niño
Winter 2015/16 –versus- Winter 1939/40
14th Post - 11 February 2016

Update El Nino in mid-Februray 2016 (below)

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21 Oct

2. Post
22 Oct

 PATRICIA
Hurrican- Special

3. Post
19 Nov

4. Post
01 Dec

 5. Post
 16 Dec

Christmas
HERE

7. Post 30/12

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8.Post-Special 
 04 Jan
Mild winters

9. Post
05.Jan

10. Post
09 Jan.

11. Post
25.Jan.2016

12. Post
28 Jan

13.Post
  03 Feb
.

14.Post
11 Feb

15.Post
12 March

 dr_arnd(x)yahoo.de
About the Author


 

Confirmed!

El Niño cause no cold in Europe

by Arnd Bernaerts

 

The First Climate Criminal – Adolf Hitler - Still Not Named

 After many decades of global warming the first eight weeks in 1940 turned the wheel back to the Little Ice Age. Suddenly the winter in Europe was the coldest since the early 19th Century. That was man-made, and responsible was Adolf Hitler. After merely four months of war in Europe, with extensive naval war in its regional seas and coastal waters, the weather broke down. Completely unexpected temperatures were permanently seven to ten degrees Celsius below average for weeks.  The responsibility was clear, the war-monger who started World War II on 1st September 1939.  That was in first place Reichskanzler Adolf Hitler, at least in an objective sense. He never has been accused of this crime, even not on moral grounds, as climatology is not aware of this important link. Naval warfare not only slingshot the winter 1939/40, but also the next two winters back in the Little Ice Age, presumably also contributed significantly to a period of global cooling from 1940 to mid1970s.

Is Adolf Hitler’s responsibility in regard of the ‘climate change matters since winter 1939/40’ of any interest? Not necessarily from a criminal point of view, as he could claim, that none of his adviser and meteorologist had any idea of such a link, and none of them raised the issue, neither before WWII nor during the war.

But here starts the problem of this historical event. Meteorology failed to warn the war-mongers before WWII commenced neither during the war. Whether that can be excused is a historical question. Quite different the period of time might be seen, which has passed since winter 1939/40. For more than 76 years climatology was able to investigate and explain the various extraordinary meteorological changes, but nothing happened.  For several decades climatology rides the carbon-dioxide-issue (CO2), as AGW, without being able and willing to investigate and explain the dramatic weather and climatic changes correlated with, during and after WWII.

Adolf Hitler’s personal guilt concerning the most pronounce climatic shift since the early 19th Century is not the point of concern, but the ignorance and unwillingness to establish in a clear scientific manner the reasons for the winter conditions 1939/40 and thereafter.  As science has had seven decades to shed light on WWII impact on climate change matters, which would be evidently a man-made cause, it seems meanwhile a serious competence issue.

After all Adolf Hitler was not only a war-criminal, but should also be identified as the first climate-change criminal. Naming him as a “climate criminal” would help to recognize more clearly that
   OCEANS MAKE CLIMATE.





Climate Skeptics weak on „Climate Criminals“
Posted 04 March 2016

Not Adolf Hitler war against the entire world from 1939 to 1945 is investigated as climate crime but U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ): refers Exxon “climate crime” to FBI for decision on action. This comes only two months after a ‘Wanted’ campaign targeted Climate Criminals at Paris summit” (see WUWT). It couldn’t be much nastier. Unfortunately it is a failure of reasonable scientists and skeptics alike. Had Adolf Hitler been identified as the “First Climate Criminal “ many decades ago (see above), James Hansen would not have had a chance to testify to US Congress on 23 June 1988 that CO2-global-warming was underway. Worst; when paying a visit to Capitol Hill on 23 June 2008, he not only celebrated his testimony in 1988 but told the audience:

“CEOs of fossil energy companies know what they are doing and are aware of long-term consequences of continued business as usual. In my opinion, these CEOs should be tried for high crimes against humanity and nature. Reported by NYT

Hansen’s receivable bears fruit. At COP21 the global citizens movement AVAAZ published a dossier  (see WUWT) about: “The seven most insidious fossil fuel lobbyists in Paris to weaken attempts to agree a global climate deal have been named and shamed as ‘climate criminals’ . In this respect James Hansen’s incapability and unwillingness to investigate the climatic change towards a global cooling since war winter 1939/40, which reflects the grand failure of climatology to name Adolf Hitler as the First Climate Criminal”. Concerning this gross negligence, skeptics should have demanded from Hansen and his colleagues clarification and explanation since long. 

The great failure of Meteorology
Posted 15 February 2016

Most surprisingly, in Europe winter 1939/40 was the coldest for 100 years. 

Unfortunately, back in summer 1939 there was no voice that warned Adolf Hitler and his consorts that a major war in general, and a naval warfare in particular, would bear a high risk of dangerous interfering with weather and atmospheric conditions, with unknown consequences. In addition, no one mentioned how foolish it would be to start with naval war activities in northern European waters in early autumn. It would release the heat stored in the North Sea and Baltic earlier than in other years. This heat is an essential contributor to moderate winters in Europe. No, Reichskanzler Adolf Hitler and the High Command of the Wehrmacht had no idea of the risks, neither did their professional advisers. Meteorology failed then and over all decades ever since. Meteorology is still unable to explain what happened seven decades ago, and the few who did, presents unproven claims, as e.g. Professor Stefan Brönnimann assuming a correlation to an El Nino event. Current El Nino winter 2015/16 proves: it is nonsense.  
Adolf Hitler’s personal responsibility, for weather and climate modification in the winter 1939/40 and beyond, was never raised. That is irresponsible and a great failure of Meteorology and Climatology.

For details see Book-Chapter C - HERE





 
February 1940.
 Great Britain was released from the arctic grip during the first days of February, whereas the continent remained governed by General Frost, as illustrated by a few examples selected from many NYT reports:

__ February 13; Amsterdam . Europe suffered tonight in the paralyzing grip of the bitterest cold in more than 100 years. (NYT, Feb. 14, 1940)

__ February 13; Copenhagen . The temperature has dropped to 13 degrees below zero Fahrenheit (-25°C). (NYT, Feb. 14, 1940).

__ February 13; Baltic countries. In Estonia , Latvia and Lithuania more than 10,000 persons suffered severe frostbite. At least five persons froze to death in the three Baltic countries, where temperatures reached 54 degrees below zero Fahrenheit (- 47.7°C) recently for the first time in 160 years (NYT, Feb. 14, 1940).

__ February 20, 1940; In Sweden all cold records were broken in the last twenty-four hours with 32 degrees below zero Fahrenheit (-35.5°C), the coldest since 1805. The previous record in Stockholm was 22 F degrees below zero. Copenhagen tonight 2 degrees above zero Fahrenheit. (NYT, Feb. 21, 1940).


 

 

 

 

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 February 2016 is well on the way with above average temperatures

 

 

 

 

 

 Adolf Hitler’s personal responsibility, for weather and climate modification in the winter 1939/40 and beyond, was never raised. Neither of his deputy and Minister of Aviation, Field Marshal Hermann Goering (see excerpts from his speech on 16. March 1940 in Berlin - enlarge images). That is irresponsible and a great failure of Meteorology and Climatology.

 

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Update EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)
Mid-February 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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ADD. I: There is no link between
El Niño and January 1940
"Right Prof. Stefan Brönnimann”?

That is one of the questions to start the series in last October  HERE.

El Niño still runs strong in the Pacific showing worldwide some typical weather pattern. As far as Europe is mentioned the  forecast expects temperature above average in the first half period of winter, and lower towards winter’s end.

 

What a big difference between January 1039 and January 2016, not only a little but tremendously. There might be some small similarities, for example in the United States  (see HERE) and the US-January-1940-Temp-Map, or three cold days in Siedlce last week from 03-05 January.  The Polish cold record was more than 20°C lower, and the cold remained, and got even worst.

 

 

 

Today the situation look very different. Forecasts expect temperature well above average. Until now this winter proves that any claim the war winter 1939/40 has anything to do is completely unfounded. Further Reading

QUESTION: ”Prof. Stefan Brönnimann is it not high time to get things right and to apologize for the grand mistake made a decade ago with your Letter to Nature (NATURE |VOL 431|21 OCTOBER 2004)”

 

The current status of El Niño (Nov-Dec-2015)

 

Box
empty

 

 

 





  BACK to TOP

 

All Posts since October 2015 on:

El Niño
Winter 2015/16 –versus- Winter 1939/40

Introduction (20. Oct): Has El Niño a role on sub-cold winters in Europe?  A continuous comparison

Post 1 (21.Oct): Stefan Brönnimann claims: Extreme winter 1940-1942 due to El Niño! -19-

Post 2 (22.Oct): USA deprived of rain - October to December 1939 -18-

Post Special (24.Oct): Hurricane PATRICIA; 'Strongest ever' storm – End of October 2015 -18a-

Post 3 (19.Nov):  El Niño Autumn 1939 vs. 2015 -17-

Post 4 (01.Dec): Jet Stream blocked in late 1939  – By naval war not El Niño –-16-

Post 5 (16.Dec): Siberian freeze arrive in Europe -  December 1939 -15-

Post 6 (22.Dec): Merry Christmas and Peace upon Meteorology,……… -14-

Post 7 (30.Dec): Huge Difference – December 1939 & December 2015 – -13-

Post 8 (Special): Northern Europe’s Mild Winters. [Essay, about pages 12) -12-

Post 9 (04.Jan): On….the Met- Office asked: What’s been happening to our weather? -11-

Post 10 (09.Jan): Polish and German climate science on winter 1939/40.a shame!  -10-


 

 

 













Kindly look in again, and if you have suggestions email to: dr_arnd@yahoo.de.   




Back to 1st Post

Author: Dr. And Bernaerts, 2016

 

About winter 1939/40 further reading:

“Failures of Meteorology! Unable to Prevent Climate Change and World Wars? Oceans Make Climate!” 
http://www.seaclimate.com/

     Back to top→→→

  To Front Page

  Older Posts

14 December 2014:  How serious is Met-Office to understand  a “weather bomb” 

14. June 2013: Met Office brainstorms UK bad weather, titles THE GUARDIAN – 13. June 2013 (ocl-7-9)

23. April 2013: Met-Off loose talk on cold March 2013? North and Baltic Sea should not be ignored! (ocl_9-8)
11. April 2013: 'Urgent' need to see if Arctic affects UK extreme cold? No! MetOffice should investigate the impact of human activities in the North- and Baltic Sea ! (co_9-4) 
03 April 2013: Did the cold March 2013 came from Siberia ? A not well founded claim! (ocl_9-9) 
29 March 2013: Cold March 2013 in company with March 1942 & 1917 (co 10-2)  
27. March 2013: Strong Start – Strong Ending; Winter 2012/13. About the Role of North- and Baltic Sea (2007seatraining 1310)
26. March 2013; March 2013 snow in the UK and the North Sea . Did human activities contributed? (ocl 10_2) 
21 March 2013; Cold March 2013 in UK and North Europe science should be able to explain! (ocl_10-3) 
07 March 2013:  Winter 2012/13 for Northern Europe is over! The Baltic and North Sea will prevent a surprise in March! (ocl-10_4)
19. January 2013: Northern Europe's bulwark against Asian cold from 19-31. (oc_12-8)
14. January 2013: North- and Baltic Sea influence Europe ’s winter 2012/2013 until now. (ocl_12_6) 
09 December 2012 (+ 21 & 26 Dec) : Are we heading to severe Baltic Sea ice conditions by 30th December 2012? (2007seatraining)

 

 Essays on arctic warming causes cold winters 

2013__Environmental Research Letters Volume 8 Number 1 Qiuhong Tang et al 2013 Environ. Res. Lett. 8 014036 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014036 
Cold winter extremes in northern continents linked to Arctic sea ice loss  http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014036 
___”The results suggest that the winter atmospheric circulation at high northern latitudes associated with Arctic sea ice loss, especially in the winter, favours the occurrence of cold winter extremes at middle latitudes of the northern continents.”

 

 Back to Front Page

                                

Material 
  INFO

Euro-Countries
Temp.-Trend

Nasa-Global
Temp.-1939-1942

September 1939 
30 daily weather maps 

Sea Ice Condition 
Baltic Sea WWII

 

All Posts since
October 2015 on:

El Niño
Winter 2015/16 –
versus-
Winter 1939/40

Introduction (20. Oct): Has El Niño a role on sub-cold winters in Europe?  A continuous comparison

Post 1 (21.Oct): Stefan Brönnimann claims: Extreme winter 1940-1942 due to El Niño! -19-

Post 2 (22.Oct): USA deprived of rain - October to December 1939 -18-

Post Special (24.Oct): Hurricane PATRICIA; 'Strongest ever' storm – End of October 2015 -18a-

Post 3 (19.Nov):  El Niño Autumn 1939 vs. 2015 -17-

Post 4 (01.Dec): Jet Stream blocked in late 1939  – By naval war not El Niño –-16-

Post 5 (16.Dec): Siberian freeze arrive in Europe -  December 1939 -15-

Post 6 (22.Dec): Merry Christmas and Peace upon Meteorology,……… -14-

Post 7 (30.Dec): Huge Difference – December 1939 & December 2015 – -13-

Post 8 (Special): Northern Europe’s Mild Winters. [Essay, about pages 12) -12-

Post 9 (04.Jan): On….the Met- Office asked: What’s been happening to our weather? -11-

Post 10 (09.Jan): Polish and German climate science on winter 1939/40.a shame!  -10-

Post 11 (25. Jan): Ice Drama January 1940 - Now Heat Record  
But Meteorology  is not interested!  -9-:



 


Book extract:

C2.  Records, Records, Records – Introduction
to the unexpected

 

 Selection of previous posts:

14 December 2014: How serious is MetOffice to understand a “weather bomb"

07. July 2013: Competent science should know it since long: “Imprint of Southern Ocean eddies on winds, clouds and rainfall” (ocl_6-9)

14. June 2013: Met Office brainstorms UK bad weather, titles THE GUARDIAN – 13. June 2013 (ocl-7-9)

23. April 2013: Met-Off loose talk on cold March 2013?

11. April 2013: 'Urgent' need to see if Arctic affects UK extreme cold? No! MetOffice should investigate the impact of human activities in the North- and Baltic Sea ! (co_9-4)
 
04 April 2013: Did the cold March 2013 come from Siberia ?  A not well founded claim!

 29 March 2012: Cold March 2013 in company with March 1942 & 1917 (co 10-2)

26. March 2013; March 2013 snow in the UK and the North Sea . Did human activities contributed? (ocl 10_2)

21 March 2013; Cold March 2013 in UK and North Europe science should be able to explain! (ocl_10-3)

7. March 2013:   Winter 2012/13 for Northern Europe is over! The Baltic and North Sea will prevent a surprise in March! (ocl 10-4)

19. Jan. 2013; Northern Europe  
bulwark against Asian cold
 from 19-31. January 2013 (co-12-8)

14. January 2013: North- and Baltic Sea influence Europe ’s winter 2012/2013 until now. --left-- (COL-12-6)

07. Jan. 2013: Record cold in Poland ! Minus 41°C on 11th Jan.1940 in Siedlce! (OCL-12-7)

23. Dec. 2012 + Update 17/01:  Had the Battle of Stalingrad been hampered by unusual low temperatures in December 1942? (OCL-12-8 

December 15, 2012
The impact of shipping on ocean and global warming (COL-12-9)

December 2012:
Roger Pielke Sr. and Climate Definition
- A field of jargon words and misuse of definitions –
(whatisclimate)

Dec. 09. 2012 (+ updates): 
Are we heading to severe   Baltic Sea ice conditions by 30th December 2012? (2007seatraining)